Match Info

National League - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kingfield Stadium (Woking)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Woking		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	2.1	3.3	2.85
	2.18	3.5	2.98
	2.25	3.6	3.04
	1.36	4.88	7.43	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.51)	3.71 ↑ (3.42)	3.69 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
47.6%

Draw
26.1%

Gateshead
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Woking's performance.

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gateshead might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Woking that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gateshead could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Woking - Gateshead Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Norcott T. (G) 16. Akinola O. 23. Akinola T. 6. Andrews J. 2. Drewe A. 14. Hinds T. 21. Kelly J. 10. O'Brien A. 5. Odusina T. (C) 3. Richards C. 18. Turner J.	1. Brooks T. (G) 7. Adom K. 32. Chapman H. 22. Edwards C. 3. Ferguson D. 17. Home J. 21. Hurst K. 2. Johnson C. 14. Nouble F. 5. Richardson K. 8. Sheaf M.
Substitutes
7. Beautyman H. 25. Forster-Caskey J. 4. Okoli C. 12. Osude J. 13. Ross C. (G) 11. Ward M.	35. Bone C. 23. Fitzhugh E. 6. Flint W. 20. John F. 33. Shelvey G. (G) 39. Thompson O. 31. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, O'Brien A. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Hinds T. ⚽, Andrews J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, Andrews J. ⚽, Drewe A. (A),
62', Chapman H. ↓, Bone C. ↑,
62', Sheaf M. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
62', Nouble F. ↓, Fitzhugh E. ↑,
72', O'Brien A. ↓, Beautyman H. ↑,
72', Kelly J. ↓, Forster-Caskey J. ↑,
72', Turner J. ↓, Osude J. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Osude J. ⚽, Akinola T. (A),
80', Akinola T. ↓, Ward M. ↑,
82', Edwards C. ↓, John F. ↑,
82', Hurst K. ↓, Thompson O. ↑,
84', Johnson C. 🟨,
90', 5 - 0, Osude J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Woking won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Woking is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Woking won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Woking won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League
03.09.25	Halifax Town - Woking	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Morecambe - Woking	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Woking - York City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hartlepool United - Woking	3:0 ✺
19.08.25	Woking - Wealdstone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTLL
- Gateshead
English National League
03.09.25	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Gateshead - Aldershot Town	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Yeovil Town - Gateshead	3:4 ✺
23.08.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.12.24	Gateshead - Woking	4:0
17.08.24	Woking - Gateshead	0:2
27.02.24	Woking - Gateshead	3:2
26.08.23	Gateshead - Woking	1:3
22.04.23	Woking - Gateshead	2:1
22.10.22	Gateshead - Woking	1:3
23.01.18	Gateshead - Woking	1:1

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