Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 10

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Gavilanes de Matamoros		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.53	3.05	2.72
	2.47	3.18	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.52)	3.08 ↓ (3.13)	2.64 (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gavilanes de Matamoros
36.4%

Draw
29.4%

Alacranes de Durango
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

29.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29.7%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Gavilanes de Matamoros is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alacranes de Durango is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alacranes de Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gavilanes de Matamoros won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gavilanes de Matamoros won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.10.23	Los Cabos United - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Mexicali	5:1 ✺
25.09.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Leones Negros 2	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Tritones Vallarta - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLWT
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.10.23	Alacranes de Durango - Chihuahua	1:3 ✺
22.09.23	Alacranes de Durango - Coras	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Alacranes de Durango - Calor de San Pedro	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Saltillo - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.02.22	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Alacranes de Durango	1:1
13.10.21	Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0
02.10.20	Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros	5:0

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