Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Gedania Gdańsk		Cartusia Kartuzy

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	1.16	11	6.8
	3.2	3.45	2.06
	2.6	3.4	2.44
	2.58	3.42	2.33
	1.16	11	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.41)	5.96 ↑ (3.55)	3.76 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gedania Gdańsk
50.8%

Draw
19%

Cartusia Kartuzy
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.2%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

23.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gedania Gdańsk's performance.

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartusia Kartuzy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gedania Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartusia Kartuzy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Soboczynski P. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Nowicki B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 2, Manuszewski M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.10.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Unia Swarzędz - Gedania Gdańsk	5:0 ✺
28.09.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Sokół Kleczew	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Gryf Słupsk - Gedania Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLTT
- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.10.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lech Poznań 2	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Flota Świnoujście - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:0 ✺
20.09.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.04.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2
Club Friendly
09.02.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.09.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:4
04.06.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:4
05.11.22	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2

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