Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gedania Gdańsk		Września

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.50	2.90
	1.92	3.5	3.15
	1.95	3.75	3.21
	1.98	3.71	3.14	Watch
	1.89	3.5	3.15
	1.94	3.83	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.33)	3.63 ↑ (3.25)	3.14 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gedania Gdańsk
46.4%

Draw
24.9%

Września
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

26.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gedania Gdańsk's performance.

Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Września might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gedania Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Gedania Gdańsk - Września Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 17th in the Relegation).

Recent results have been tough for Gedania (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Września have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gedania Gdansk	14	4	6	4	30:29	1	18
16	Wrzesnia	14	2	6	6	12:24	-12	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Gedania Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Kotwica Kórnik	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino	0:4 ✺
28.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Września - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Września	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Września - Chemik Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Września - KKS Kalisz	3:3
29.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Września	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTTTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Elana Toruń - Września	✺

Gedania Gdańsk - Września