Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 15

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Gerxhaliu K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, TV4 Play


	Gefle		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.3	3.4	2.65
	2.25	3.6	2.95	Watch
	2.27	3.6	3.08
	2.2	3.53	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.7
	2.23	3.64	2.92	Watch
	2.22	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	2.9 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
41.6%

Draw
26.3%

Trelleborg
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.3%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Gefle - Trelleborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Trelleborg will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gefle: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Johansson T. (G) 15. Friberg G. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 3. Adolfsson J. 19. Aspgren C. 44. Ranera I. 6. Browning L. 7. Edqvist A. 35. Adrian S. 11. Englund L. 18. Capotondi C.	33. Ellborg M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. (C) 5. Ogwuche A. 21. Alievski E. 14. Asoma S. 29. Salama O. 7. Larsen P. 10. Karim H. 11. Culum A. 17. Bohman F.
Substitutes
14. Friman S. P. 9. Hjelte J. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 8. Lundin A. 16. Persson K. 24. Rafael Y. 10. Yakoub A.	16. Asani A. 34. Bjorkqvist M. 45. Brandin R. 15. Godwin E. 40. Kack J. 26. Mattson L. 30. Rehn A.
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Jacobsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Capotondi C. ⚽,
20', Englund L. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Larsen P. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Capotondi C. ⚽, Aspgren C. (A),
39', 2 - 2, Karim H. ⚽, Alievski E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', Edqvist A. ↓, Rafael Y. ↑,
72', Englund L. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
83', Friberg G. 🟨,
85', Asoma S. ↓, Asani A. ↑,
85', Salama O. ↓, Godwin E. ↑,
85', Larsen P. ↓, Bjorkqvist M. ↑,
85', Capotondi C. ↓, Hjelte J. ↑,
90+2', Karim H. ↓, Kack J. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 8).

Gefle is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Trelleborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gefle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
28.06.24	Brage - Gefle	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Varbergs BoIS - Gefle	4:3 ✺
15.06.24	Gefle - Landskrona	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Örgryte - Gefle	3:0 ✺
26.05.24	Gefle - Örebro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLLW
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
30.06.24	Trelleborg - Öster	1:4 ✺
24.06.24	Örebro - Trelleborg	1:1 ✺
17.06.24	Trelleborg - Brage	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Landskrona - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
27.05.24	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
11.11.23	Gefle - Trelleborg	1:1
02.04.23	Trelleborg - Gefle	0:1
21.08.17	Gefle - Trelleborg	1:2
19.06.17	Trelleborg - Gefle	0:1
Svenska Cupen
26.02.17	Gefle - Trelleborg	1:2

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