Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: 17 De Octubre (Formosa)


	General San Martín de Formosa		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.7	3.15	4.95
	1.68	3.12	5.13
	1.67	3.47	5.28	Watch
	1.69	3.2	5.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	4.82 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
52.5%

Draw
28.6%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

31.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in General San Martín de Formosa's performance.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 5. Bobadilla M. 2. Brienzo N. 11. Chiquichano O. 4. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R. 7. Vicedo M.	1. Palleres T. (G) 10. Caseres F. 4. Fiol F. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 11. Gomez N. 5. Martinez G. 8. Medina R. 7. Piersigilli S. 6. Robatto V. 9. Sosa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Fiol F. 🟨,
21', Vicedo M. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Siergiejuk M. ⚽,
29', Robatto V. 🟨,
29', Siergiejuk M. 🟨,
40', Leiva D. 🟨,
42', Bobadilla M. 🟨,
43', Gallo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Martinez G. 🟨,
60', Bobadilla M. 🟥,
61', Ciavarelli I. 🟨,
64', 🟨,
75', Medina R. 🟥,
87', 2 - 0, Vicedo M. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ))

Now, both teams are in good form.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Martín Formosa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Independiente Chivilcoy	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Douglas Haig - General San Martín de Formosa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTWW
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWTW

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