Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 10

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.6	2.95
	2.52	2.62	3
	2.62	2.47	3.14
	2.82	2.37	3.41	Watch
	2.5	2.63	3
	2.53	2.52	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.15)	2.54 ↓ (2.84)	3.12 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
35.1%

Draw
35.8%

Douglas Haig
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G) 7. Almada L. 5. Bassi E. 10. Caseres F. 4. Dauria M. 11. Ferreira P. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 8. Gutierrez M. 9. Marfort S. 6. Zarate A.	1. Perrone F. (G) 11. Arriola C. 8. Caballo M. 3. Cuello L. 7. Fiorito S. 2. Lopez L. 4. Magnago B. 6. Mauri M. 5. Ojeda L. 9. Palacio J. 10. Seratto R.
Substitutes
17. Fernandez V. 13. Fiol F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 15. Iturrieta J. 19. Medina R. 14. Robatto V. 18. Rosales C. 20. Salvaggio M. 16. Visser B.	12. Auil A. (G) 13. Canela N. 20. Gimenez M. 15. Levato J. 16. Oreskovic M. 18. Ponce de Leon M. 19. Rosciano L. 14. Sotelo O. 17. Tus E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 🟨,
20', 🟨,
36', Mauri M. 🟥,
40', Caballo M. 🟥,
42', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Almada L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWW
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Douglas Haig - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.03.26	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:1
27.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:0
24.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:3
23.03.25	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0

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