Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Kehrwegstadion (Eupen)

Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)


	Eupen		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.88	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.86	3.99	3.75
	1.8	3.97	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.25
	1.81	3.52	3.81	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.62)	3.62 ↓ (3.77)	3.7 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Eupen
49.9%

Draw
25.3%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

25.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eupen's form might have worsened.

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eupen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Eupen - ROC de Charleroi Marchienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). ROCCM will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eupen: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eupen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hiller M. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y. 28. Paeshuyse R. (C) 4. Kennedy S. 5. Gavory N. 66. Busquets O. 22. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 27. Muller M. 8. Mohwald K. 7. Nuhu I. 20. Atteri Z.	23. Herrerin I. (G) 2. Sarkic O. 4. Jahic H. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 77. Ferrara L. 28. Spago E. 17. Cachbach M. 6. Kis K. (C) 11. Florica L. 81. Dailly N. 8. Lake T.
Substitutes
15. Bares G. 10. Bitumazala N. 21. Bokadi M. 19. Caliskan B. 9. Kasper D. 18. Keita A. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 32. Plastun I. 13. Youndje K.	18. Berberi R. 7. Cisse M. 10. Ion R. 88. Kari S. 13. Medfai M. 12. Ramalho J. 5. Thea A. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)
Coaches
Pinheiro B.	Abdelli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Mohwald K. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Jahic H. ⚽, Lake T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Atteri Z. ⚽, Gavory N. (A),
58', Muller M. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
63', Busquets O. 🟨,
67', Florica L. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
72', Busquets O. ↓, Bares G. ↑,
72', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Bitumazala N. ↑,
76', Kis K. ↓, Ramalho J. ↑,
76', Lake T. ↓, Thea A. ↑,
77', Ndedi Kegne K. J. 🟥,
81', 1 - 2, Jahic H. ⚽, Cachbach M. (A),
85', Mohwald K. ↓, Kasper D. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Bitumazala N. ⚽, Van Genechten Y. (A),
88', Sarkic M. 🟨,
90+3', Dailly N. ↓, Berberi R. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Eupen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ROCCM's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

ROCCM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Eupen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Eupen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.12.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Eupen	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Eupen - Brugge U23	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Seraing - Eupen	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Eupen - Lommel	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Beveren - Eupen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWLT
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
16.12.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lommel	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	RWDM Brussels - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:3 ✺
05.12.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Genk U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:4 ✺
23.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
17.10.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Eupen	0:1
Belgian Cup
10.02.21	Eupen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	5:1

Upcoming Matches