Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Ghelamco Arena (Gent)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Sport 1


	Gent		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6	Watch
	1.37	5	6
	1.4	5.15	6.5
	1.4	4.75	6
	1.37	4.57	6.43
	1.39	5.3	6.55	Watch
	1.42	5.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)	5.02 ↓ (5.5)	6.3 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
66.6%

Draw
18.6%

Pogoń Szczecin
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

17.4%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

17.2%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	5.6%	8.3%

Gent - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (G) 18. Samoise M. 5. Kandouss I. 4. Watanabe T. 23. Torunarigha J. 24. Kums S. (C) 13. De Sart J. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 19. Fofana M. 11. Cuypers H. 20. Orban G.	81. Klebaniuk B. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 23. Zech B. 33. Malec M. 32. Koutris L. 21. Gamboa J. 99. Legowski M. 22. Bichakhchyan V. 10. Zahovic L. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
21. Agbor B. 14. Castro-Montes A. 30. De Schrevel C. (G) 22. Fadiga N. 28. Fernandez-Pardo M. 8. Gerkens P. 17. Hjulsager A. 15. Lagae B. 1. Nardi P. (G) 10. Tissoudali T.	17. Fornalczyk M. 20. Gorgon A. 83. Holewinski A. (G) 7. Kurzawa R. 4. Leo Borges 25. Lisowski W. 68. Loncar D. 73. Przyborek A. 61. Smolinski K. 41. Stolarski P. 70. Wawrzynowicz S. 15. Wedrychowski M.
Coaches
Vanhaezebrouck H.	Gustafsson J.

Preview

1st leg.

Gent in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pogoń Szczecin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gent could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gent is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gent to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gent won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Gent won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.08.23	KV Mechelen - Gent	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Žilina - Gent	2:5 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.07.23	Gent - Kortrijk	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Gent - Žilina	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Gent - Zulte Waregem	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Pogoń Szczecin
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Linfield	3:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.07.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Linfield - Pogoń Szczecin	2:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.07.23	Warta Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Hansa Rostock - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

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