Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	KV Mechelen		Gent

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.45
	2.78	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.83	3.6	2.5
	1.49	3.93	7.20	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.4
	2.8	3.5	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.82)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	3.13 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
39.3%

Draw
28.5%

Gent
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KV Mechelen's performance.

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

KV Mechelen - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 2. Halhal R. 33. St. Jago T. 3. Marsa J. 38. Antonio B. 6. Hammar F. (C) 17. Servais M. 7. Koudou T. 19. Mrabti K. 28. Boersma B. 9. van Brederode M.	33. Roef D. (C) 4. Hashioka D. 57. Volckaert M. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 8. Skoras M. 27. De Vlieger T. 37. Kadri A. 22. Lopes L. 20. Araujo T. 21. Dean M. 7. Kanga W.
Substitutes
11. Bafdili B. 12. Bande H. 39. Decoene M. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 4. Diouf G. 10. Kireev M. 8. Konate M. 29. Salifou D. 27. Vanrafelghem K.	75. Cisse I. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 29. Duverne J. 45. Goore H. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 11. Sonko M. 54. Vernemmen H.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Boersma B. ⚽, Mrabti K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Skoras M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
46', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
46', Dean M. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
53', Servais M. 🟨,
56', Mrabti K. ↓, Salifou D. ↑,
61', Kadri A. 🟨,
69', Kadri A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Kadri A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
79', Lopes L. 🟨,
80', Antonio B. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
83', Hashioka D. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
89', Servais M. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
89', Koudou T. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
90+4', Halhal R. 🟨,
90+4', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 0.

Mechelen is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gent is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gent may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mechelen: Ozdemir H. (Inactive) Zekri M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A. (Injury) El Adfaoui M. (Inactive) Paskotsi M. (Muscle Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:40. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.4:2.1).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67% KV Mechelen: 0.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

KV Mechelen - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.39%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Gent - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.57%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
22.04.26	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	6:1 ✺
18.04.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.04.26	Gent - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Gent - Sint-Truidense	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Anderlecht - Gent	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.04.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	1:1
08.03.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	3:1
16.08.25	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:1
07.02.25	KV Mechelen - Gent	3:3
15.09.24	Gent - KV Mechelen	2:0
04.05.24	KV Mechelen - Gent	2:4
20.04.24	Gent - KV Mechelen	3:1

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