The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Molde 44.6%
Draw 25.5%
Gent 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
24.6%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
23.9%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molde's form might have worsened.
Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.5%
17.6%
8.8%
Molde - Gent Predictions
Users Predictions:
68 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 50 - 73.5%). Gent will win (votes: 6 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 63% – 84%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Molde has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (40%), has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a good chance of round of 16 (57%), has a chance of qtrs (26%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Gent has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (43%), has a chance of 2nd (35%), has a chance of 3rd (19%), has a good chance of round of 16 (60%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has quality55, importance58, match rating56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Molde is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Gent is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gent could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Molde will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Molde: Ellingsen M.
(Knee Injury)
Haraldseid K.
(Knee Injury)
Sinyan S.
(Injury)
Ulland-Andersen E.
(Injury)
There will not play in Gent: De Sart J.
(Muscle Injury)
Owusu E.
(Injury)
Tissoudali T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Molde: Linnes M.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Molde to win the game is with odds 2.13.
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