Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Munuera Montero J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	VTM 2, VTM GO
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Netherlands	Sporza
Portugal	Canal 11
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Gent		Silkeborg IF

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4	4.6
	1.6	4	5	Watch
	1.58	4.09	5.25
	1.64	4.17	4.66	Watch
	1.61	4.31	4.97	Watch
	1.6	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.3)	4.08 ↑ (3.47)	4.89 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
58%

Draw
22.9%

Silkeborg IF
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent's performance.

Silkeborg IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Silkeborg IF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Silkeborg IF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	4.2%	5.2%

Gent - Silkeborg IF Predictions

Users Predictions: 95 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 86 - 90.5%). Silkeborg will win (votes: 5 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 84.6% – 96.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (G) 22. Fadiga N. 4. Watanabe T. 20. Mitrovic S. 12. Gambor H. 24. Kums S. (C) 16. Delorge-Knieper M. 9. Gudjohnsen A. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 25. Fortuna N. 21. Dean M.	1. Larsen N. (C) 5. Sonne O. 25. Rodin P. 4. Ganchas P. 3. Ostrom R. 20. Larsen M. 14. Brink M. 8. Andersen J. 10. Bakiz Y. 7. Orazov R. 23. Adamsen T.
Substitutes
3. Brown A. 27. De Vlieger T. 28. Fernandez-Pardo M. 6. Gandelman O. 8. Gerkens P. 5. Kandouss I. 18. Samoise M. 1. Schmidt D. (G) 11. Sonko M. L. 19. Surdez F. 23. Torunarigha J. 14. Yokota D.	30. Andresen A. (G) 41. Boesen O. 33. Freundlich M. 19. Gammelby J. 16. Larsen J. (G) 24. Lasse M. 35. Mikkelsen S. 2. Poulsen A. 22. Pyndt A.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Nielsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Adamsen T. ⚽, Sonne O. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Dean M. ⚽, Kums S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Adamsen T. (Pen),
59', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
59', Fortuna N. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
62', Andersen J. 🟨,
66', Ganchas P. 🟨,
66', Brink M. 🟨,
67', Gambor H. ↓, Torunarigha J. ↑,
72', Bakiz Y. ↓, Boesen O. ↑,
72', Brink M. ↓, Pyndt A. ↑,
79', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Yokota D. ↑,
79', Fadiga N. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
85', Sonne O. ↓, Gammelby J. ↑,
87', Vrancken W. 🟨,
88', Ostrom R. ↓, Poulsen A. ↑,
88', Andersen J. ↓, Freundlich M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Gandelman O. ⚽, Brown A. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', Kums S. ↓, Samoise M. ↑,
104', Rodin P. ↓, Lasse M. ↑,
109', Delorge-Knieper M. 🟨,
112', Freundlich M. 🟨,
118', 3 - 2, Gandelman O. ⚽, Brown A. (A),
119', Gandelman O. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Recent matches Gent is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Silkeborg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Gent have a series of guest games.

In this match Gent is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gent won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.08.24	Charleroi - Gent	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Gent	2:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.08.24	Gent - Dender EH	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Víkingur Gøta - Gent	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.07.24	Kortrijk - Gent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWW
- Silkeborg IF
Danish Superliga
11.08.24	Randers FC - Silkeborg IF	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Gent	2:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
04.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Viborg	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Molde	3:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
28.07.24	Aalborg BK - Silkeborg IF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Gent	2:2

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