Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 5

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN, RTL
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	BHT 1, Moja TV
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	L'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
Germany	RTL, RTL+
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6, TVWan
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, RSI La 2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra, Tubi TV
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, VIX App


	Germany		Bosnia and Herzegovina

	1	X	2
	1.07	11	29
	1.08	11.5	26
	1.08	11	30
	1.09	13.16	32.36
	1.08	12.39	31.89
	1.05	12	23
	1.08	16	40	Watch
	1.08	11	30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.14)	12.26 ↑ (8.56)	30.28 ↑ (18.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
89%

Draw
7.8%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
3.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.7%

11.2%

5.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germany's performance.

Bosnia and Herzegovina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	9.4%	6.2%

Germany - Bosnia and Herzegovina Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 27 - 84.4%). Bosnia will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 71.8% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (G) Hoffenheim 6. Kimmich J. (C) Bayern Munich 4. Tah J. Bayer Leverkusen 2. Rudiger A. Real Madrid 18. Mittelstadt M. VfB Stuttgart 8. Andrich R. Bayer Leverkusen 5. Gross P. Dortmund 17. Wirtz F. Bayer Leverkusen 7. Havertz K. Arsenal 10. Musiala J. Bayern Munich 9. Kleindienst T. B. Monchengladbach	1. Vasilj N. (G) St. Pauli 18. Muharemovic T. Sassuolo 3. Bicakcic E. (C) Braunschweig 16. Barisic A. L. Basel 19. Omerovic N. Osijek 17. Burnic D. Karlsruher 5. Sunjic I. Paphos 15. Gigovic A. Holstein Kiel 6. Tahirovic B. Ajax 10. Demirovic E. VfB Stuttgart 9. Kulenovic L. Heracles
Substitutes
14. Brandt J. Dortmund 11. Fuhrich C. VfB Stuttgart 20. Gnabry S. Bayern Munich 21. Gosens R. Fiorentina 23. Henrichs B. RB Leipzig 3. Koch R. Eintracht Frankfurt 13. Nmecha F. Dortmund 12. Nubel A. (G) VfB Stuttgart 22. Ortega S. (G) Manchester City 19. Sane L. Bayern Munich	23. Bajraktarevic E. New England Revolution 13. Basic I. Orenburg 21. Bazdar S. Zaragoza 2. Celik N. FK Sarajevo 7. Dedic A. Salzburg 14. Djakovac I. TSC Backa Topola 11. Dzeko E. Fenerbahce 12. Hadzikic O. (G) Velez Mostar 20. Hajradinovic H. Kasimpasa 8. Huseinbasic D. 1. FC Koln 22. Zlomislic M. (G) Rijeka
Coaches
Nagelsmann J.	Barbarez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Musiala J. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Kleindienst T. ⚽, Andrich R. (A),
37', 3 - 0, Havertz K. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 4 - 0, Wirtz F. ⚽,
57', 5 - 0, Wirtz F. ⚽, Havertz K. (A),
58', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
58', Musiala J. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
58', Andrich R. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
58', Wirtz F. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
63', Kulenovic L. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
63', Tahirovic B. ↓, Basic I. ↑,
63', Gigovic A. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
66', 6 - 0, Sane L. ⚽, Havertz K. (A),
73', Kimmich J. ↓, Koch R. ↑,
74', Sunjic I. ↓, Huseinbasic D. ↑,
76', Tah J. 🟨,
79', 7 - 0, Kleindienst T. ⚽, Rudiger A. (A),
85', Demirovic E. ↓, Hajradinovic H. ↑,
89', Hajradinovic H. 🟨,
90+3', Burnic D. 🟨,

Preview

Germany is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In this match Germany is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Germany won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany
UEFA Nations League
14.10.24	Germany - Netherlands	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Germany	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Netherlands - Germany	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Germany - Hungary	5:0 ✺
UEFA Euro
05.07.24	Spain - Germany	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWL
- Bosnia and Herzegovina
UEFA Nations League
14.10.24	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Hungary	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Germany	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Hungary - Bosnia and Herzegovina	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Netherlands - Bosnia and Herzegovina	5:2 ✺
Friendly
09.06.24	Italy - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
11.10.24	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Germany	1:2

Germany - Bosnia and Herzegovina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide