Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 12

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Germinal		Círculo Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.90	4.60
	1.72	3.20	4.60	Watch
	1.80	2.98	4.72
	1.88	2.95	5.04	Watch
	1.85	2.80	4.75
	1.77	2.90	5.23
	1.81	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	4.72 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
50.4%

Draw
30.4%

Círculo Deportivo
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.4%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Germinal - Círculo Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 9. Carcamo F. 5. Macaroff N. 8. Moron G. 7. Oliveri T. 2. Rios N. 10. Rojas J. 4. Sveruk L. 6. Teran I. (C) 11. Velazquez J. 3. Yocco L.	1. Fernandez P. (C) 8. Banchio R. 7. Cos B. 5. Gomez L. 10. Grahl F. 3. Leguizamon M. 2. Martinez J. 9. Opazo D. 11. Rius C. 6. Rojas F. 4. Vilchez J.
Substitutes
20. De Hoyos D. 18. Gonzalez A. 12. Grigera F. (G) 13. Lencina K. 15. Lires M. 16. Navarro G. 17. Nunez G. 14. Silva J. 19. Soto O.	13. Aguilar M. 17. Galeano A. 12. Lerena S. (G) 14. Lucero J. 19. Marin Q. 16. Norberto I. 18. Sasso M. 15. Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
52', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2.

In recent matches, Germinal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Círculo Deportivo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Círculo Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Germinal is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Germinal - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTLW
- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.04.26	Círculo Deportivo - Germinal	2:1
14.09.25	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	2:0
01.06.25	Círculo Deportivo - Germinal	0:1
30.03.25	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	2:5
19.05.24	Círculo Deportivo - Germinal	0:0
23.03.24	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	3:0
09.09.23	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	2:0

Germinal - Círculo Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide