Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Germinal

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.9	7.5
	1.4	3.73	7.05
	1.47	3.76	8.15	Watch
	1.36	4	8
	1.37	3.85	8.95
	1.43	3.95	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	3.87 ↓ (3.95)	7.74 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
64.8%

Draw
23.5%

Germinal
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Chimino C. 7. Coacci E. 6. Ferreyra M. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Ibarra C. 3. Lapetina L. 8. Llanos S. 2. Moiraghi N. 11. Ramirez D. 5. Stancato A.	1. Molini L. (G) 9. Gonzalez A. 5. Macaroff N. 3. Moreno A. 10. Moron G. 8. Nunez G. 7. Oliveri T. 2. Rios N. 6. Sveruk L. 11. Velazquez J. (C) 4. Yocco L.
Substitutes
14. Bellone A. O. 15. Fernandez S. 12. Geist C. (G) 18. Hernandez A. 13. Hertel L. 19. Olivera M. 20. Susvielles J. 16. Vargas M. 17. Vega G.	20. De Hoyos D. 18. Estrada J. 17. Lires M. 16. Martinez J. C. 19. Navarro G. 12. Rodriguez L. (G) 13. Romero F. 14. Silva J. 15. Veloso L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,
87', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 2.

Olimpo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Germinal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Germinal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olimpo is the team to beat.

We predict that Olimpo will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWWW
- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Germinal - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Círculo Deportivo - Germinal	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.07.25	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
27.04.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	1:2
28.07.24	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
30.06.24	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1
05.05.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	0:1
03.09.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	3:0
02.07.23	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2

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