Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jose Antonio Valle (Mar del Plata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Kimberley de Mar del Plata		Germinal

	1	X	2
	1.7	2.98	5.35
	1.66	2.98	5.33
	1.74	3.08	5.90	Watch
	1.73	2.8	5.5
	1.67	3.04	5.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	2.98 ↓ (3.13)	5.57 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
53.3%

Draw
30.4%

Germinal
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

29.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

28.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 9. Castillo S. 4. Loscalso T. 3. Manas F. 5. Miori M. 11. Russo F. 8. Tello L. 7. Ullua E. 2. Vazquez A. 10. Zarate J.	1. Molini L. (G) 9. Carcamo F. 5. Macaroff N. 3. Moreno A. 8. Navarro G. 7. Oliveri T. 2. Rios N. 10. Rojas J. 6. Teran I. (C) 11. Velazquez J. 4. Yocco L.
Substitutes
12. Aguayo D. (G) 16. Chavez S. 15. De Gaetani A. 18. Leiva L. 17. Nivollet G. 20. Santillan J. 19. Vella L. 14. Zanelli E. 13. Zarate F.	20. De Hoyos D. 19. Gonzalez A. 12. Grigera F. (G) 15. Lencina K. 17. Lires M. 18. Moron G. 14. Silva J. 13. Sveruk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Castillo S. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', Moreno A. 🟥,
86', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kimberley won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Kimberley is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kimberley won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kimberley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.05.26	Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sol de Mayo	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:4 ✺
18.04.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTWL
- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Germinal - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.03.26	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0
08.06.25	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:2
07.04.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal	0:0
01.09.24	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:1
23.06.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal	0:0
28.04.24	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:1

Upcoming Matches