Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Germinal		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.7	3
	2.44	2.75	3.05
	2.42	2.62	3.09
	2.52	2.6	3.26
	2.44	2.75	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
37%

Draw
33.7%

Sportivo Belgrano
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

34%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

36%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Germinal - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Motroni J. ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Satler T. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.10.24	Germinal - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Douglas Haig - Germinal	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Germinal - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Germinal	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWLT
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.10.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
06.09.24	Sportivo Belgrano - General San Martín de Formosa	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWT

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