The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Belgrano 65.4%
Draw 24.1%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay 10.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.3%
23.9%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
23.1%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roggero S. (G) 6. Albano A. 9. Attis T. 11. Avaro E. 2. Coceres G. 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 5. Gimenez J. 10. Jaime J. 8. Lehmann A. 3. Pennesi T. 7. Rossi J.
1. Bravo P. (G) 8. Altamirano L. 2. Benitez J. 11. Bogado M. 7. Favre A. 10. Garcia A. 4. Garzon G. 3. Germanier N. 6. Gimenez N. 5. Hofstetter P. J. 9. Mainero A.
Substitutes
14. Cortizo P. 17. Flores L. 15. Franco D. 16. Hang F. 18. Marquez F. 12. Martina L. (G) 13. Rouiller T.
17. Baltore D. 13. Basualdo L. 15. Casares J. 16. Dening L. 12. Etcheverry B. (G) 14. Gonzalez A. 18. Malimberni S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Albano A. 🟨,
43', Germanier N. 🟥,
45+1', 1 - 0, Avaro E. (Pen),
45+6', Attis T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Altamirano L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
46', Albano A. ↓, Rouiller T. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Jaime J. ⚽,
61', Garcia A. ↓, Casares J. ↑,
61', Bogado M. ↓, Baltore D. ↑,
62', Hofstetter P. J. 🟨,
65', Gimenez J. ↓, Cortizo P. ↑,
65', Jaime J. ↓, Franco D. ↑,
74', Mainero A. ↓, Malimberni S. ↑,
75', Avaro E. ↓, Hang F. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Rossi J. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
85', Favre A. ↓, Dening L. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Franco D. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 3.
Sportivo Belgrano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gimnasia y Esgrima is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Sportivo Belgrano is the clear favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).
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Roggero S. (G) 
Altamirano L. 
Franco D. 
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