Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Tropezón		Sestao

	1	X	2
	4.5	2.95	1.8
	4.6	3.1	1.8
	4.2	3	1.85
	4.5	3.11	1.92
	4.5	3	1.8
	4.05	3.3	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↓ (4.55)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tropezón
20.8%

Draw
29.7%

Sestao
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

26.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21.3%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tropezón - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Tropezón is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sestao is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sestao is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tropezón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.12.21	Racing Santander B - Tropezón	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Tropezón - Cayón	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Peña Sport - Tropezón	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Tropezón - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Racing Rioja - Tropezón	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.12.21	Mutilvera - Sestao	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Sestao - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
27.11.21	Gernika - Sestao	0:2 ✺
20.11.21	Sestao - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Náxara - Sestao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLL

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