Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Coliseum (Getafe)

Referee: Vega A. C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kosovo	K Sport 2
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	TV2 Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, Gol Play, Gol Stadium, LaLiga TV Bar, Tele Madrid
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN+, FuboTV
World	Disney+


	Getafe		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.88	5.25	Watch
	1.98	2.87	5
	2	2.95	5	Watch
	2.02	2.92	5.3
	2	2.95	5.14
	2	2.88	5
	2.04	2.99	5.23	Watch
	2.02	2.93	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.2)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	5.1 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Getafe
48.1%

Draw
33%

Leganés
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

32.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Getafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	29.2%	4.2%

Getafe - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Getafe will win (votes: 31 - 66%). Leganés will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 29.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Getafe: 52.5% – 79.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Soria D. (G) 21. Iglesias J. 4. Berrocal J. 2. Djene (C) 15. Alderete O. 16. Rico D. 5. Milla L. 20. Santiago Y. 8. Arambarri M. 10. Yildirim B. 6. Uche C.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 22. Nastasic M. 8. Cisse S. 5. Tapia R. 7. Rodriguez O. 23. Munir El Haddadi 11. Cruz J. 9. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
26. Alcantara A. R. 11. Alena C. 34. Arguelles D. 22. Duarte D. 29. Gomez da Costa C. 36. Keita A. 1. Letacek J. (G) 9. Mayoral B. 17. Perez C. 19. Peter Federico 7. Sola A. 33. Trilla G.	2. Altimira A. 36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 15. Franquesa E. 19. Garcia D. 18. Haller S. 20. Hernandez J. 21. Lopez R. 4. Porozo J. 10. Raba D. 1. Soriano J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Rodriguez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Santiago Y. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
46', Rodriguez O. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
53', Arambarri M. 🟨,
56', Djene 🟨,
62', Tapia R. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
63', Rico D. 🟨,
67', Uche C. ↓, Mayoral B. ↑,
67', Djene ↓, Perez C. ↑,
74', Munir El Haddadi ↓, Franquesa E. ↑,
74', de la Fuente M. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Saenz J. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
78', Yildirim B. ↓, Alcantara A. R. ↑,
80', Nastasic M. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Mayoral B. (Pen),
85', Cruz J. ↓, Raba D. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Getafe won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Getafe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Getafe is a favorite.

There will not play in Getafe: Rodriguez A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Garcia N. (Injury) Neyou Y. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Getafe: Aberdin N. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Getafe won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Getafe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
18.09.24	Betis - Getafe	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Sevilla - Getafe	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Getafe - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Getafe - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
15.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTTT
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
19.09.24	Leganés - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Betis - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.24	Leganés - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
28.08.24	Valladolid - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.23	Getafe - Leganés	1:0
16.07.22	Leganés - Getafe	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
17.01.20	Leganés - Getafe	0:3
19.10.19	Getafe - Leganés	2:0
30.03.19	Getafe - Leganés	0:2
07.12.18	Leganés - Getafe	1:1
04.02.18	Getafe - Leganés	0:0

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