Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	19:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	14:00	DGO
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:00	ESPN 4
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 6
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	19:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	20:00	Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	19:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Italy	19:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Malta	19:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	11:00	Sky Sport
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play
Poland	19:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	18:00	DAZN 2
Romania	20:00	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 2
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	19:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	19:00	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Turkey	20:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	18:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	13:00	ESPN+, FuboTV
International	17:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Leganés		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	2.05	Watch
	4.1	2.95	2.1
	4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	4.4	3.1	2.1
	4.56	3.13	2.02	Watch
	4.2	3.1	2.05
	4.21	3.26	2.12	Watch
	4	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.69)	3.11 ↓ (3.46)	2.09 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
22.8%

Draw
31.1%

Athletic Bilbao
46.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.4%

27.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

29.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.8%	27.8%	69.4%

Leganés - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%). Athletic will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 54.3% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 12. Rosier V. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 22. Nastasic M. 15. Franquesa E. 8. Cisse S. 14. Brasanac D. 21. Lopez R. 9. de la Fuente M. 18. Haller S.	13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 14. Nunez U. 3. Vivian D. 17. Berchiche Y. (C) 6. Vesga M. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 7. Berenguer A. 20. Gomez U. 10. Williams N. 11. Djalo A.
Substitutes
2. Altimira A. 36. Alvin (G) 24. Chicco J. 11. Cruz J. 13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 19. Garcia D. 20. Hernandez J. 23. Munir El Haddadi 4. Porozo J. 10. Raba D. 7. Rodriguez O. 5. Tapia R.	32. Boiro A. 18. de Marcos O. 12. Guruzeta G. 21. Herrera A. 19. Javier Marton 15. Lekue I. 26. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 24. Prados Diaz B. 8. Sancet O. 22. Serrano N. 9. Williams I.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', de la Fuente M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Williams N. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
56', Djalo A. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
57', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
57', Vesga M. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
63', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
63', Rosier V. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Vivian D. ⚽, Guruzeta G. (A),
72', Brasanac D. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
72', Saenz J. ↓, Tapia R. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Williams I. ⚽, Gorosabel A. (A),
80', Haller S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
80', Lopez R. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
90', Tapia R. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Athletic will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Leganés: Neyou Y. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Muscle Injury) Jauregizar M. (Red Card) Simon U. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Garcia N. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.24	Betis - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.24	Leganés - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
28.08.24	Valladolid - Leganés	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Leganés - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
15.09.24	Las Palmas - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
28.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
15.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
16.07.20	Athletic Bilbao - Leganés	0:2
25.09.19	Leganés - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
24.04.19	Leganés - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
20.08.18	Athletic Bilbao - Leganés	2:1
11.03.18	Athletic Bilbao - Leganés	2:0
22.10.17	Leganés - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
14.05.17	Athletic Bilbao - Leganés	1:1

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