Match Info

Stars League - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stars League 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iraq	16:30	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Ghaz Al Shamal		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	2.70
	2.62	2.80	2.69
	2.5	2.89	2.88	Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.65
	2.58	2.99	2.78
	2.35	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.51)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)	2.76 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghaz Al Shamal
35.7%

Draw
31.7%

Naft Maysan
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghaz Al Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghaz Al Shamal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ghaz Al Shamal - Naft Maysan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Abbas R. ⚽, Hamo M. (A),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 15th and 19th in the Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Ghaz Al Shamal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	11	3	5	3	6:7	-1	14
19	Naft Missan	11	1	5	5	7:15	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghaz Al Shamal
Iraqi Premier League
18.10.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Al-Zawraa	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Al-Minaa - Ghaz Al Shamal	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Newroz	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Ghaz Al Shamal	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Duhok - Ghaz Al Shamal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WLTTT
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
16.10.26	Diyala - Naft Maysan	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Naft Maysan - Arbil	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Talaba	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Al-Minaa - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLWT

Ghaz Al Shamal - Naft Maysan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide