Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Giana Erminio		Como

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.55	2.9	2.7
	2.8	2.9	2.41
	2.86	3.07	2.49
	2.88	3	2.5
	2.81	3.02	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.55)	3.01 ↑ (2.85)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
33%

Draw
30.3%

Como
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

23.1%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giana Erminio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giana Erminio - Como Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Giana Erminio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Como is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giana Erminio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Giana Erminio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.20	Pro Sesto - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
12.10.20	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Novara - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
03.10.20	Giana Erminio - Juventus U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
22.10.20	Como - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
19.10.20	Lucchese - Como	2:3 ✺
11.10.20	Como - Lecco	0:3 ✺
03.10.20	Como - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Renate - Como	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
05.10.19	Como - Giana Erminio	2:1
22.01.17	Como - Giana Erminio	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.16	Como - Giana Erminio	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
11.09.16	Giana Erminio - Como	1:3
15.02.15	Como - Giana Erminio	1:0
27.09.14	Giana Erminio - Como	1:0

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