Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 28

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Novara		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	2.92	3.15	Watch
	2.38	2.96	3.28
	2.35	2.81	3.27	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.1
	2.32	2.76	3.24	Watch
	2.36	2.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.12)	2.81 ↓ (3.03)	3.23 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Novara
39.2%

Draw
32.5%

Giana Erminio
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Novara - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. (C) 15. Khailoti O. 71. D'Alessio L. 99. Basso G. 19. Collodel R. 72. Agyemang G. 11. Ledonne N. 7. Lanini E. 20. da Graca C.	22. Mazza A. (G) 26. Previtali M. 18. Cannistra P. 19. Duca T. 33. Albertini A. 20. Renda F. 14. Marotta M. 7. Pinto D. (C) 24. Ruffini L. 11. Galeandro A. 29. Samele L.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 36. Arboscello R. 5. Bertoncini D. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 17. Dell'Erba D. 3. Lartey S. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 12. Rossetti M. (G) 2. Scarpetta J.	32. Azzolari E. 5. Berretta A. 13. Colombara M. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 90. Vitale V. 1. Zenti A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Samele L. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, da Graca C. ⚽,
35', Pinto D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', D'Alessio L. ↓, Ranieri R. ↑,
58', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
60', Previtali M. 🟨,
62', Renda F. ↓, Vitale V. ↑,
65', Cannistra P. 🟨,
70', Cannistra P. ↓, Colombara M. ↑,
71', Samele L. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, da Graca C. ⚽,
75', da Graca C. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
77', Ranieri R. 🟨,
82', 3 - 1, Alberti T. ⚽,
88', Marotta M. ↓, Gabbiani G. ↑,
88', Galeandro A. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
89', Ledonne N. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
89', Khailoti O. ↓, Bertoncini D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Novara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Novara won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
15.02.26	Triestina - Novara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Novara - Brescia	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Pro Vercelli - Novara	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Novara - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTLW
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
15.02.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Giana Erminio - Lecco	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
02.02.26	Giana Erminio - Brescia	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.25	Giana Erminio - Novara	0:0
09.03.25	Novara - Giana Erminio	0:1
25.10.24	Giana Erminio - Novara	2:2
03.02.24	Giana Erminio - Novara	0:1
24.09.23	Novara - Giana Erminio	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Giana Erminio - Novara	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Giana Erminio - Novara	2:2

Upcoming Matches