Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 25

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Giana Erminio		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.5	2.95	2.05
	3.86	3.05	2.12
	3.68	3.2	2.08	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.72	3.13	1.96	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.24)	3.02 ↓ (3.02)	2.06 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
25.4%

Draw
30.2%

FeralpiSalò
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

30%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

29.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FeralpiSalò could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giana Erminio - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 27. Alborghetti M. 47. Scaringi M. 26. Previtali N. 23. Caferri L. 4. Nichetti M. 14. Marotta M. 21. Pala A. 7. Pinto D. 10. Lamesta A. 19. Stuckler D.	22. Liverani L. (G) 8. Balestrero D. (C) 19. Pilati A. 35. Cabianca E. 77. Vesentini F. 27. Hergheligiu D. 75. Brambilla A. 20. Zennaro M. 3. Rizzo A. 17. Crespi V. 21. Cavuoti N.
Substitutes
17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 37. Bassanini R. 73. Buzzi E. 13. Colombara M. 18. De Maria V. 29. Moro L. (G) 77. Piazza A. 1. Pirola C. (G) 24. Pirotta D. 99. Renda F.	24. Boci B. 10. Di Molfetta D. 7. Dubickas E. 11. Giudici L. 12. Lovato E. (G) 16. Luciani A. 2. Motti F. 1. Rinaldi F. (G) 70. Tomaselli G. 63. Verzeletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Stuckler D. ⚽,
12', Lamesta A. ↓, Ballabio M. ↑,
42', Cavuoti N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Rizzo A. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Brambilla A. ⚽,
55', Pala A. ↓, De Maria V. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, De Maria V. ⚽,
67', De Maria V. 🟨,
67', Vesentini F. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
67', Crespi V. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
73', Hergheligiu D. ↓, Verzeletti M. ↑,
73', Rizzo A. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Marotta M. ⚽,
87', Pinto D. ↓, Colombara M. ↑,
90+1', Balestrero D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

FeralpiSalò could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match FeralpiSalò is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Giana Erminio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
26.01.25	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.25	Giana Erminio - Renate	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
06.01.25	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWLW
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.25	FeralpiSalò - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Virtus Verona - FeralpiSalò	1:3 ✺
12.01.25	FeralpiSalò - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	FeralpiSalò - Renate	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Novara - FeralpiSalò	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.24	FeralpiSalò - Giana Erminio	2:0
17.03.22	Giana Erminio - FeralpiSalò	2:1
07.11.21	FeralpiSalò - Giana Erminio	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
31.03.19	FeralpiSalò - Giana Erminio	1:1
01.12.18	Giana Erminio - FeralpiSalò	2:4
Italian Serie C Group A
30.04.16	Giana Erminio - FeralpiSalò	1:1
19.12.15	FeralpiSalò - Giana Erminio	0:2

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