Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 31

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lucchese		Olbia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.1	6.5
	1.42	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.45	4.15	7.95
	1.45	4.15	7.95
	1.36	4	8
	1.39	4.1	7.55
	1.4	4.1	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (2.02)	4.11 ↑ (3.05)	7.49 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
65.3%

Draw
22.4%

Olbia
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

30%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucchese's performance.

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olbia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucchese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lucchese - Olbia Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucchese will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chiorra N. (G) 6. Tiritiello A. 21. Sabbione A. 23. Benassai F. 97. De Maria V. 27. Gucher R. 30. Cangianiello S. 11. Disanto F. 7. Rizzo Pinna A. 72. Visconti E. 45. Yeboah P.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 17. Palomba L. 43. Montebugnoli M. 3. La Rosa L. (C) 21. Biancu R. 15. Zanchetta F. 23. Arboleda C. 10. Ragatzu D. 99. Bianchimano A.
Substitutes
2. Alagna M. 16. Astrologo A. 12. Berti F. (G) 1. Coletta J. (G) 17. Djibril M. 10. Fedato F. 77. Guadagni G. 38. Leone M. 99. Magnaghi S. 3. Perotta N. 19. Russo F. 4. Toma R.	4. Dessena D. 27. Fabbri F. 29. Gennari M. 33. Guidotti S. 6. Incerti D. F. 26. Mameli A. 18. Nanni N. 67. Scapin T. 19. Scaringi M. 8. Schiavone A. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 2.

Recent matches Lucchese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olbia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olbia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lucchese have a series of guest games.

In this match Lucchese is certain favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
06.03.24	Pontedera - Lucchese	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Lucchese - Rimini	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.02.24	Padova - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.24	Pescara - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Juventus U23 - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLLT
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
06.03.24	Olbia - Juventus U23	0:4 ✺
02.03.24	Fermana - Olbia	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Olbia - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Pineto - Olbia	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Olbia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.23	Olbia - Lucchese	0:0
23.04.23	Lucchese - Olbia	2:0
17.12.22	Olbia - Lucchese	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Lucchese - Olbia	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
23.01.22	Olbia - Lucchese	1:0
19.09.21	Lucchese - Olbia	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.21	Lucchese - Olbia	1:1

Lucchese - Olbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide