Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 31

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pro Patria		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.3
	2.92	3	2.38	Watch
	3.14	3	2.35
	3.07	3.05	2.31	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.3
	3.05	2.97	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	2.95 ↓ (2.99)	2.32 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
30.3%

Draw
30.7%

Alcione
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

30.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Alcione aligns with the current prediction.

Pro Patria - Alcione Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pro Patria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Sala A. (G) 6. Sassaro A. 26. Masi A. 33. Pogliano C. 7. Orfei A. 25. Ferri D. 5. Di Munno A. 31. Felicioli G. 17. Tunjov G. 9. Udoh K. 70. Desogus J.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 25. Pirola F. 5. Miculi A. 6. Ciappellano D. 73. Scuderi G. 70. Bright K. 16. Lanzi J. 33. Invernizzi A. 10. Pitou J. 32. Tordini M. 11. Morselli F.
Substitutes
14. Citterio G. 23. Frosali J. 27. Giudici L. 10. Mastroianni F. 20. Mora C. 39. Motolese M. 11. Renelus B. 1. Rovida W. (G) 8. Schiavone A. 40. Schiro T. 19. Travaglini C. 22. Zamarian M. (G)	3. Chierichetti P. 23. Galli G. 65. Giorgeschi S. 18. Lopes E. 31. Marconi M. 8. Muroni M. 21. Olivieri D. 9. Plescia V. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 7. Renault G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Felicioli G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tordini M. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
57', Felicioli G. ↓, Travaglini C. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Travaglini C. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
70', Sassaro A. 🟨,
70', Udoh K. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
71', Desogus J. ↓, Renelus B. ↑,
73', Miculi A. ↓, Giorgeschi S. ↑,
73', Morselli F. ↓, Marconi M. ↑,
82', Sassaro A. ↓, Motolese M. ↑,
82', Orfei A. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
82', Invernizzi A. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
90+7', Motolese M. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Marconi M. ⚽,
90+9', Marconi M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Pro Patria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcione is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcione Milano	9	2	6	1	13:14	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.26	Ospitaletto - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pro Patria - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Brescia - Pro Patria	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Trento - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Pro Patria - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLLW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.26	Alcione - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Inter U23 - Alcione	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Alcione - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vicenza Virtus - Alcione	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Alcione - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.25	Alcione - Pro Patria	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Pro Patria - Alcione	1:2 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.25	Pro Patria - Alcione	0:0
24.11.24	Alcione - Pro Patria	2:0
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Alcione - Pro Patria	3:3

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