Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Europa Point Stadium (Gibraltar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	SporTV 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	GBC TV
Usa	Tubi TV


	Gibraltar		São Tomé and Príncipe

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.33	6.00
	1.5	3.85	5.9
	1.45	3.95	4.9
	1.48	4.25	5.7
	1.45	3.9	5.1
	1.53	4.41	5.91	Watch
	1.5	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.29)	4.14 ↓ (4.9)	5.59 ↓ (9.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gibraltar
61.6%

Draw
22.1%

São Tomé and Príncipe
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.3%

18.8%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gibraltar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gibraltar's form might have worsened.

São Tomé and Príncipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Tomé and Príncipe's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Gibraltar - São Tomé and Príncipe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gibraltar will win (votes: 6 - 60%). São Tomé will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gibraltar: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Tomé (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banda B. (G) Europa FC
18. Bartolo J. Salisbury
12. Gomez J.
2. Jolley E. Lincoln Red Imps
6. Lopes B. Lincoln Red Imps
19. Mason L. Lincoln Red Imps
15. McClafferty P.
4. Pozo N. Boston United
11. Scanlon
16. Stevens H. Magpies
3. Valarino J. (C) St Josephs
Substitutes
. Bent D. Larne
. Borge D. Magpies
20. Britto E. Lincoln Red Imps
7. De Barr T. OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
. De Haro E. St Josephs
10. Del Rio J. Magpies
. Garro J.
23. Hankins J. (G) Lincoln Red Imps
. Huart V. (G) Lynx
. Jessop L. Portadown
. Pons A. St Josephs
. Richards C. Dorking Wanderers
14. Ronan K. Chelmsford
22. Torrilla G. Lincoln Red Imps

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Lima P. 🟨,
45', Pozo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Scanlon J. ↓, Jessop L. ↑,
46', Mason L. ↓, Richards C. ↑,
46', Banda B. ↓, Hankins J. ↑,
46', Valarino J. ↓, Pons A. ↑,
46', Pozo N. ↓, Ronan K. ↑,
46', Lopes B. ↓, Bent D. ↑,
49', Carvalho G. 🟨,
61', Stevens H. ↓, Torrilla G. ↑,
61', Bartolo J. ↓, Borge D. ↑,
61', Gomez J. ↓, De Barr T. ↑,
61', Jolley E. ↓, De Haro E. ↑,
73', McClafferty P. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
81', Bonfim Y. ↓, Goncalves Mateus P. L. ↑,
90+3', Carvalho G. ↓, Vilhete D. ↑,

Preview

Gibraltar is ranked FIFA: 202., and São Tomé is ranked FIFA: 195..

In this match, Gibraltar enters as the overwhelming favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gibraltar
Friendly
06.06.26	Gibraltar - Cayman Islands	4:1 ✺
03.06.26	Gibraltar - British Virgin Islands	4:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
31.03.26	Latvia - Gibraltar	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Gibraltar - Latvia	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
17.11.25	Czech Republic - Gibraltar	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- São Tomé and Príncipe
Africa Cup of Nations
31.03.26	Ethiopia - São Tomé and Príncipe	1:0 ✺
27.03.26	São Tomé and Príncipe - Ethiopia	0:3 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.10.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Malawi	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Tunisia	0:6 ✺
09.09.25	Namibia - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LLWLL

Gibraltar - São Tomé and Príncipe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide