Match Info

J3 League - Round 14

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Osaka		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.48	3.05	2.7
	2.5	3.06	2.94
	2.62	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.62	3	2.4
	2.49	3.32	2.73	Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.4)	3.08 ↓ (3.4)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osaka
35.7%

Draw
29.8%

Kagoshima United
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Osaka - Kagoshima United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Kagoshima United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Kagoshima United (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamamoto T. (G) 37. Tsutsumi S. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 6. Tachino S. 24. Sato R. 27. Sawazaki R. 8. Haga A. 51. Nishimura M. 19. Masuda S. 9. Shimada T.	1. Fujishima E. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 29. Okazaki M. 7. Chibu K. 3. Sugii H. 14. Yoshio K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 19. Inaba S. 11. Fukuda M. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 18. Kawamura K.
Substitutes
16. Hashimoto R. 22. Hayashida K. 7. Kitsui T. 10. Kubo R. 39. Mochizuki S. 18. Natsukawa Y. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 25. Takei S. 33. Woo S.	20. Endo M. 23. Kojima R. 13. Kondo Y. 31. Kumakura T. (G) 92. Nduka C. 21. Soma J. 73. Tanaka T. 6. Watanabe E. 36. Yonezawa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Shimada T. ⚽, Sato R. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Sawazaki R. ⚽, Shimada T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yoshio K. ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
46', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Watanabe E. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Masuda S. ⚽, Tachino S. (A),
63', Nishimura M. ↓, Natsukawa Y. ↑,
63', Haga A. ↓, Takei S. ↑,
65', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
65', Rodrigo Angelotti ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
73', Masuda S. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
73', Sato R. ↓, Kubo R. ↑,
74', Yonezawa R. 🟨,
82', Kawamura K. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
88', Sawazaki R. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Osaka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kagoshima United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Sagamihara - Osaka	1:2 ✺
07.05.25	Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Tochigi City - Osaka	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Osaka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Kagoshima United
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Imabari - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Kagoshima United - Fukushima United	5:0 ✺
06.05.25	Ryūkyū - Kagoshima United	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Kagoshima United - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Gainare Tottori - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
05.10.23	Osaka - Kagoshima United	2:3
04.03.23	Kagoshima United - Osaka	2:1

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