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Current Win Probability
Osaka 30.2%
Draw 27.8%
Kagoshima United 42%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.4%
28%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
27.7%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Osaka - Kagoshima United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sugawara H. (G) 2. Sakamoto K. 5. Minakuchi Y. 25. Kuwako R. 13. Mima K. (C) 14. Sumida S. 11. Yoshida G. 10. Kubo R. 15. Fukui K. 28. Toya T. 9. Shimada T.
31. Sakata D. (G) 16. Muramatsu K. 4. Hirose K. 36. Ikeda J. 13. Nagamine Y. 20. Endo M. 32. Umeki K. 19. Inaba S. (C) 11. Fukuda M. 18. Kawamura K. 55. Nakayama K.
Substitutes
23. Akiyama T. 95. Isa K. 21. Kimura H. 7. Kitsui T. 17. Morimura S. 41. Nose R. 29. Sugawara R. 6. Tachino S. 88. Umeda R. (G)
44. Aoki Y. 9. Arita R. 35. Egawa G. 99. Juanma Delgado 21. Kawakami K. (G) 2. Saga R. 22. Takahashi A. 7. Tanaka W. 14. Yoshio K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Shimada T. ⚽, Sumida S. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Kawamura K. ⚽, Endo M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fukui K. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
46', Nagamine Y. ↓, Aoki Y. ↑,
46', Umeki K. ↓, Tanaka W. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Kuwako R. ⚽, Yoshida G. (A),
52', Nakayama K. 🟨,
54', Kawamura K. ↓, Takahashi A. ↑,
62', Nakayama K. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
71', Kubo R. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
71', Toya T. ↓, Morimura S. ↑,
75', Fukuda M. ↓, Saga R. ↑,
80', Kitsui T. 🟨,
84', Shimada T. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
88', Isa K. 🟨,
90+1', Muramatsu K. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - J2 League).
Osaka is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kagoshima United has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kagoshima United may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kagoshima United holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Osaka has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Osaka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 2.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Kagoshima Utd
13
9
2
2
27:16
11
29
4
Osaka
13
6
5
2
23:13
10
23
Last Results with these Odds
Osaka - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.36%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.