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Current Win Probability
Roasso Kumamoto 37.9%
Draw 28.1%
Gifu 34%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.2%
27.2%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
27.2%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Roasso Kumamoto - Gifu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. (C) 26. Toda S. 39. Ishida R. 13. Iihoshi A. 25. Nasu K. 37. Ozawa H. 22. Matsuda E. 7. Fujii K. 9. Bae Jeong-Min
77. Haruna R. (G) 7. Hakozaki T. 34. Yumine K. 27. Haneda K. 22. Mun In-Ju (C) 10. Kita R. 9. Nakamura S. 47. Matsui T. 98. Yakabi K. 39. Izumisawa J. 43. Asada H.
Substitutes
14. Ishihara O. 10. Katori Y. 2. Kuroki K. 17. Nagai S. 27. Negishi K. 3. Onishi R. 23. Sato Y. (G) 11. Watanabe R. 28. Yoshioka Y.
3. Hagino K. 4. Kai K. 19. Kanda H. 66. Kitajima F. 55. Sato S. (G) 14. Suzuki H. 17. Tell J. 23. Toyama R. 50. Yashiki Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Hakozaki T. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Nakamura S. ⚽, Haruna R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Matsui T. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,
46', Iihoshi A. ↓, Negishi K. ↑,
46', Matsuda E. ↓, Katori Y. ↑,
49', Bae Jeong-Min 🟨,
60', Asada H. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
60', Izumisawa J. ↓, Kanda H. ↑,
62', Negishi K. 🟨,
63', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Ishihara O. ⚽, Ozawa H. (A),
76', Ozawa H. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
76', Yakabi K. ↓, Tell J. ↑,
78', Nasu K. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Ishihara O. ⚽, Negishi K. (A),
82', Fujii K. ↓, Yoshioka Y. ↑,
89', Hakozaki T. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th and 6th in the Promotion - J3 League Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Kumamoto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gifu has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Kumamoto has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:16 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kumamoto against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Kumamoto
13
6
5
2
15:7
8
23
7
Gifu
13
7
1
5
24:13
11
22
Last Results with these Odds
Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.