Match Info

League Two - Round 17

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Gillingham		Barnet

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.91
	3.55	3.45	1.98
	2.97	3.29	2.38
	3.00	3.34	2.25	Watch
	3.62	3.52	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3)	3.42 ↑ (3.34)	2.1 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
28%

Draw
27.4%

Barnet
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.8%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Gillingham - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 2. Hutton R. 14. McKenzie R. 30. Gale S. 3. Clark M. 6. Coleman E. 10. Williams J. 7. McCleary G. 23. Dack B. (C) 11. Rowe A. 12. Palmer-Houlden S.	29. Slicker C. (G) 4. Collinge D. (C) 25. Tavares N. 5. Senior A. 15. Glover R. 23. Smith K. 28. Ofoborh N. 11. Kanu I. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C. 9. Ndlovu L.
Substitutes
15. Akomeah T. 9. Andrews J. 32. Cirino L. 13. Holtam T. (G) 27. Khumbeni N. 17. Smith J. 19. Vokes S.	27. Assombalonga B. 8. Browne R. 13. Evans O. (G) 18. Hartigan A. 12. Hawkins O. 22. Kensdale O. 16. Winterburn B.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Brennan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Stead C. ⚽, Kanu I. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Dack B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
51', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
60', Rowe A. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
63', Stead C. 🟨,
64', Vokes S. 🟨,
72', Hutton R. 🟨,
72', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
72', McCleary G. ↓, Akomeah T. ↑,
74', Williams J. 🟨,
80', Kanu I. 🟨,
84', Ofoborh N. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,
85', Smith K. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
85', Stead C. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
86', Williams J. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
88', Glover R. ↓, Kensdale O. ↑,
90+4', Khumbeni N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Gillingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barnet's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Morris G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A. (Inactive) Palmer-Houlden S. (Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Barnet: Adeniran D. (Inactive) Assombalonga B. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
15.11.25	Gillingham - Crawley Town	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Gillingham - Wycombe Wanderers	0:3 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Newport County - Gillingham	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Gillingham - Salford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWLL
- Barnet
English League Two
15.11.25	Cambridge United - Barnet	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Fleetwood Town - Barnet	2:1 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Barrow - Barnet	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.10.25	Barnet - Cambridge United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.12.12	Gillingham - Barnet	0:1
08.09.12	Barnet - Gillingham	1:3
06.03.12	Gillingham - Barnet	N/A

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