Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:45	Paramount+


	Gillingham		Fylde

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	1.88	3.4	3.7
	1.95	3.45	3.85
	1.97	3.45	3.65
	2.1	3.42	3.45
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	1.96	3.42	3.58	Watch
	1.94	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	3.69 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
47.4%

Draw
27.4%

Fylde
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.6%	2.6%	15.8%

Gillingham - Fylde Predictions

Users Predictions: Gillingham will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Gillingham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fylde is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gillingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gillingham have a series of guest games.

Gillingham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
12.11.22	Gillingham - Northampton Town	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.11.22	Brentford - Gillingham	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Fylde - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
English League Two
29.10.22	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Leyton Orient - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.4 LWTLL
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
12.11.22	Darlington - Fylde	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Fylde - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
English National League North
29.10.22	Fylde - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Hereford - Fylde	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Leamington - Fylde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
05.11.22	Fylde - Gillingham	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
31.10.26	Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham	✺
- AFC Fylde
English National League
30.10.26	Fylde - Hornchurch	✺

Gillingham - Fylde