Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	5.75
	1.68	3.4	5.5
	1.62	3.55	6
	1.67	3.5	5.2
	1.7	3.59	5.88
	1.7	3.4	5.25
	1.75	3.6	5.35	Watch
	1.66	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	5.49 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
56%

Draw
26.9%

Gillingham
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Leyton Orient - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (32 of 40 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.6% – 92.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (30.19%), has project points - 86, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a good chance of promoted (66%), has a chance of win league (30%).

Gillingham has the most likely position - 21 (8.24%), has project points - 52, has currently - 13, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 11, importance 40, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2.

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gillingham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gillingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gillingham have a series of home games.

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
22.10.22	Carlisle United - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Leyton Orient - Chelsea U21	2:3 ✺
English League Two
15.10.22	Leyton Orient - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Leyton Orient - Newport County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTL
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
22.10.22	Gillingham - Barrow	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Gillingham - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.10.22	Gillingham - Colchester United	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
08.10.22	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Gillingham - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.21	Leyton Orient - Gillingham	2:0
English FA Cup
04.11.17	Gillingham - Leyton Orient	2:1
Club Friendly
30.07.16	Leyton Orient - Gillingham	2:0
English League One
06.04.15	Leyton Orient - Gillingham	3:3
English EFL Trophy
06.12.14	Gillingham - Leyton Orient	1:0
English League One
15.11.14	Gillingham - Leyton Orient	3:2
12.04.14	Leyton Orient - Gillingham	5:1

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