The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 31.8%
Draw 28.5%
Northampton Town 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
28.9%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
28.4%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Gillingham - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright O. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 26. Dobbs L. 22. Freeman N. 24. Waldock H. 14. McKenzie R. 3. McManus C. 10. Hale R. 16. Brophy J. 9. Goodwin W.
1. Jeacock Z. (G) 44. Donacien J. 6. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 3. Maxwell J. 16. Wormleighton J. 8. Evans L. 4. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 20. Briggs L. 14. Fornah T. 9. Warhurst M.
Substitutes
17. Antwi C. 30. Booth S. 13. Holtam T. (G) 18. Kendall S. 12. McCleary G. 11. Sillah L. 29. Webster H.
35. Dyche M. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 7. Hoskins S. 15. McCarthy C. 17. Opoku N. 32. Saunders H. 11. Swyer K.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Hogg C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', McKenzie R. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, McManus C. ⚽, Freeman N. (A),
14', Beckles O. 🟨,
26', Fornah T. 🟨,
27', Wormleighton J. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Briggs L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Maxwell J. 🟨,
55', McKenzie R. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
58', Warhurst M. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
70', Donacien J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
72', Briggs L. 🟨,
79', Dyche M. 🟨,
81', Goodwin W. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
81', Hale R. ↓, Sillah L. ↑,
82', McManus C. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,
90+7', Brophy J. ↓, Webster H. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
In recent matches, Gillingham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Northampton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Dack B.
(Inactive)
Maclorg L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Gordon L.
(Inactive)
Little A.
(Inactive)
Wright O.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Gillingham: 2% Northampton: 1.25%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Gillingham
10
4
4
2
15:10
5
16
23
Northampton
8
1
4
3
4:7
-3
7
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.24%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Northampton Town - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Wright O. (G) 
Beckles O. (C) 
McManus C. 
Hale R. 
Donacien J. 
Maxwell J. 
Evans L. 
Fornah T. 
Kendall S. 
McCleary G. 
Sillah L. 
Opoku N. 
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