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Current Win Probability
Gimcheon Sangmu 54.1%
Draw 23.7%
Daegu 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
20.6%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
20.1%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimcheon Sangmu's form might have worsened.
Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Daegu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 45% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimcheon Sangmu will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kim Tae-Hoon (G) 5. Kim Kang-San 35. Lee Jung-Taek 20. Park Chan-Yong 22. Choi Ye-Hoon 49. Min Kyeong-Hyeon 28. Maeng Seong-Ung 51. Park Tae-Jun 7. Kim Seung-Sub 11. Lee Dong-Jun 19. Park Sang-Hyeok
31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 2. Hwang Jae-Won 55. Woo Ju-Seong 4. Caio Marcelo 22. Jang Sung-won 18. Jeong Jae-sang 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 74. Lee Yong-Rae 32. Jeong Chi-In 77. Kim Ju-Gong 11. Cesinha
Substitutes
42. Go Jae-Hyeon 37. Kim Joo-Chan 45. Kim Yi-Seok 38. Lee Chan-Wook 14. Lee Dong-Gyeong 23. Lee Ju-Hyun (G) 8. Lee Seung-Won 34. Park Cheol-Woo 18. Won Ki-Jong
10. Bruno Lamas 88. Carlos Jatoba 9. Edgar 27. Jeong Heon-taek 66. Jo Jin-Woo 45. Kim Hyeon-jun 38. Lee Rim 19. Park Dae-Hoon 51. Park M. (G)
Coaches
Chung Jung-Yong
Kim Byung-Soo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Lee Dong-Jun 🟨,
45+4', Maeng Seong-Ung 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Choi Ye-Hoon ↓, Park Cheol-Woo ↑,
46', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Lee Dong-Gyeong ↑,
46', Jeong Jae-sang ↓, Jeong Heon-taek ↑,
46', Lee Yong-Rae ↓, Kim Jung-Hyeon ↑,
62', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Park Dae-Hoon ↑,
63', Maeng Seong-Ung ↓, Lee Seung-Won ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Jang Sung-won ⚽, Cesinha (A),
75', Min Kyeong-Hyeon ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,
86', Kim Seung-Sub ↓, Won Ki-Jong ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Caio Marcelo ⚽, Cesinha (A),
90+2', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Edgar ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Lee Dong-Gyeong (Pen),
90+5', Park Tae-Jun 🟨,
90+13', Kim Jung-Hyeon ↓, Jo Jin-Woo ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 4.
Gimcheon Sangmu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Daegu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Gimcheon Sangmu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Gimcheon Sangmu is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
Hong-kong
South-korea
World
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Kim Tae-Hoon (G) 
Caio Marcelo 
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