Match Info

K League 1 - Round 27

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: DGB Daegu Bank Park (Daegu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Daegu		Jeju

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.68	3.4	2.38
	2.96	3.54	2.42
	2.62	3.26	2.62	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.71	3.5	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.25)	3.44 ↓ (3.55)	2.4 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daegu
33.7%

Draw
27.3%

Jeju
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.4%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jeju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Daegu - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Daegu will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Jeju will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daegu: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Jeju (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jeju will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Daegu (votes: 1 - 20%). Jeju (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 2. Hwang Jae-Won 55. Woo Ju-Seong 45. Kim Hyeon-jun 22. Jang Sung-won 18. Jeong Jae-sang 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 74. Lee Yong-Rae 32. Jeong Chi-In 77. Kim Ju-Gong 11. Cesinha (C)	1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 23. Rim Chang-Woo 26. Lim Chai-Min 4. Song Ju-Hun 40. Kim Ryun-Seong 8. Lee Chang-Min (C) 10. Nam Tae-Hee 5. Italo 27. Kim J. 18. Oh Jae-Hyeok 11. Evandro
Substitutes
10. Bruno Lamas 88. Carlos Jatoba 9. Edgar 47. Jeong Hyeon-Cheol 26. Lee Jin-Yong 38. Lee Rim 19. Park Dae-Hoon 51. Park M. (G) 5. Reis G.	21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi B. 3. Jang M. 13. Jeong Woon 2. Kim Jae-Woo 6. Kim Jung-Min 14. Pedrinho 15. Valdenilson 9. Yuri Tanque
Coaches
Kim Byung-Soo	Kim Hak-Bum

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Kim J. ↓, Choi B. ↑,
46', Evandro ↓, Yuri Tanque ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Kim Ryun-Seong ⚽, Nam Tae-Hee (A),
51', 1 - 1, Yuri Tanque (Own goal),
54', 1 - 2, Yuri Tanque ⚽, Kim Ryun-Seong (A),
56', 2 - 2, Cesinha ⚽, Jeong Chi-In (A),
56', Cesinha 🟨,
58', Jeong Jae-sang ↓, Park Dae-Hoon ↑,
68', Lee Yong-Rae ↓, Lee Jin-Yong ↑,
68', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Bruno Lamas ↑,
70', Lee Jin-Yong 🟨,
79', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Jang M. ↑,
79', Oh Jae-Hyeok ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
83', Kim Jung-Hyeon ↓, Carlos Jatoba ↑,
83', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Reis G. ↑,
90+3', Nam Tae-Hee ↓, Jeong Woon ↑,
90+5', Choi B. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 3.

Daegu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Jeju has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jeju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jeju is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Daegu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Daegu - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Daegu	3:0 ✺
08.08.25	FC Seoul - Daegu	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.25	Daegu - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.07.25	Daegu - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Anyang - Daegu	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLL
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.25	Jeju - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju	3:1 ✺
23.07.25	Jeju - FC Seoul	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Jeju - Anyang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
14.06.25	Jeju - Daegu	2:1
03.05.25	Daegu - Jeju	3:1
03.11.24	Daegu - Jeju	2:2
14.09.24	Jeju - Daegu	0:4
16.06.24	Daegu - Jeju	1:0
06.05.24	Jeju - Daegu	1:0
26.08.23	Daegu - Jeju	1:0

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