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Current Win Probability
FC Seoul 66.6%
Draw 20.1%
Daegu 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67%
20.1%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
14.9%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Seoul that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
21.4%
7.1%
FC Seoul - Daegu Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Seoul will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Daegu will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Seoul (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Seoul (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 63. Park Soo-Il 18. Jeong Tae-Wook 5. Al Arab Y. 22. Kim Jin-Su 70. Anderson Oliveira 7. Jeong Seung-Won 41. Hwang Do-Yun 77. Lucas Silva 10. Lingard J. (C) 9. Cho Young-Wook
21. Oh Seung-Hoon (G) 2. Hwang Jae-Won 55. Woo Ju-Seong 7. Kim Jin-Hyeok 3. Jeong Woo-Jae 18. Jeong Jae-sang 88. Carlos Jatoba 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 32. Jeong Chi-In 11. Cesinha (C) 77. Kim Ju-Gong
Substitutes
21. Choi Chul-Won (G) 16. Choi Jun 45. Dugandzic M. 37. Jung Han-Min 19. Kang Ju-Hyeok 8. Lee Seung-Mo 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 40. Park Seong-Hoon 14. Son Seung-Beom
10. Bruno Lamas 9. Edgar 31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 22. Jang Sung-won 66. Jo Jin-Woo 13. Kwon T. 38. Lee Rim 74. Lee Yong-Rae 19. Park Dae-Hoon
Coaches
Kim Gi-Dong
Kim Byung-Soo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Kim Jin-Hyeok 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Kim Jin-Su ⚽,
22', Jeong Tae-Wook 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Cesinha ⚽, Jeong Jae-sang (A),
38', Kim Jung-Hyeon 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Lucas Silva ⚽, Kim Jin-Su (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Park Soo-Il 🟨,
56', Carlos Jatoba 🟨,
60', Jeong Jae-sang ↓, Bruno Lamas ↑,
60', Carlos Jatoba ↓, Lee Yong-Rae ↑,
60', Jeong Seung-Won ↓, Lee Seung-Mo ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Jeong Chi-In ⚽, Cesinha (A),
78', Lucas Silva ↓, Dugandzic M. ↑,
82', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Kwon T. ↑,
82', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Park Dae-Hoon ↑,
86', Hwang Do-Yun ↓, Choi Jun ↑,
86', Lingard J. ↓, Jung Han-Min ↑,
90+5', Kim Jung-Hyeon ↓, Lee Rim ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 2.
In recent matches, Seoul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Daegu is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Daegu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Seoul is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Seoul won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
Australia
Austria
China
Germany
Hong-kong
Russia
South-korea
Switzerland
World
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Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 
Al Arab Y. 
Anderson Oliveira 
Lingard J. (C) 
Dugandzic M. 
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