The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 44.5%
Draw 30.7%
Gimnasia Jujuy 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.8%
29.6%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
30.7%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (G) 14. Ortega A. 2. Romeo L. 6. Kippes A. 3. Bindella A. 8. Vega G. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Martinez R. 9. Spetale A.
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Minervino D. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Lazarte M. 8. Gallardo D. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Cachi M. 11. Bianchi O.
Substitutes
19. Bonacci P. 17. Colazo N. 18. Coronel J. 12. Glellel E. (G) 20. Lavezzi A. 13. Novillo J. 15. Ortega T. 16. Yangali J.
18. Arganaraz A. 17. Casa M. 15. Endrizzi E. 12. Gomez G. (G) 14. Lopez D. 20. Menendez C. 19. Paradela F. 16. Pombo C. 13. Varela J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martinez R. 🟨,
51', Cachi M. 🟨,
62', Bianchi O. ↓, Menendez C. ↑,
62', Gallardo D. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
64', Vega G. ↓, Yangali J. ↑,
69', Soria H. 🟨,
69', Martinez R. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Lavezzi A. ⚽, Spetale A. (A),
74', Cachi M. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
74', Minervino D. ↓, Pombo C. ↑,
79', Bindella A. ↓, Ortega T. ↑,
79', Spetale A. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
81', Maidana F. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
87', Kippes A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Lavezzi A. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 4.
Recent performances by Quilmes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gimnasia Jujuy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Quilmes might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnasia Jujuy - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 22.58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.