Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 23

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Colegiales		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.1	3.9
	2.15	2.95	3.40
	2.05	2.92	3.8	Watch
	2.18	3.05	4.11
	2.07	3.04	3.95	Watch
	2.15	2.8	4.05
	2.05	3.09	3.89
	2.02	2.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.66)	2.98 ↑ (2.91)	3.87 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
44.7%

Draw
31.2%

Gimnasia Jujuy
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

32.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

33.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colegiales's performance.

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia Jujuy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colegiales that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia Jujuy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Colegiales - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 3. Hanashiro F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ortiz L. 4. Malagueno F. 10. Castillo L. 5. Marin F. 7. Gonzalez L. 8. Zicarelli F. 9. Monserrat R. E. 11. Trinidad E.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 3. Endrizzi E. 2. Varela J. 6. Dematei N. 4. Minervino D. 10. Lazarte M. 5. Soria H. 8. Casa M. 7. Maidana F. 9. Franzoni J. 11. Bianchi O.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre E. 19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 17. Juarez L. 18. Mamani M. 15. Montiel F. 16. Ocampo E. 14. Ramirez M. 20. Toloza N.	18. Arganaraz A. 19. Cachi M. 13. Cosaro G. 12. Gomez G. (G) 14. Lopez D. 20. Menendez C. 17. Molina F. 16. Paradela F. 15. Pombo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Castillo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Ortiz L. ⚽, Zicarelli F. (A),
56', Maidana F. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
56', Franzoni J. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
56', Lazarte M. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
57', Paradela F. 🟨,
59', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
60', Gonzalez L. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
63', Molina F. 🟨,
67', Zicarelli F. ↓, Ocampo E. ↑,
67', Casa M. ↓, Cachi M. ↑,
67', Monserrat R. E. ↓, Toloza N. ↑,
73', Varela J. 🟨,
74', Malagueno F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
74', Castillo L. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
75', Minervino D. ↓, Menendez C. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Toloza N. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Di Fulvio E. (Own goal),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

Colegiales has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gimnasia Jujuy is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colegiales won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Colegiales - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Gimnasia Jujuy - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.78%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.26	Quilmes - Colegiales	0:1 ✺
13.07.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Colegiales - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colegiales - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLLWW
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Güemes	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Güemes - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:3 ✺
17.06.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.03.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Colegiales	2:1

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