Match Info

Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia Jujuy		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.65	4.1	Watch
	2.15	2.72	3.9	Watch
	2.23	2.72	4.26
	2.2	2.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.12)	2.7 ↓ (2.75)	4.09 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
42.7%

Draw
34.5%

San Miguel
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

33.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

33.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Gimnasia Jujuy - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Noble M. 8. Trasante J. 5. Soria H. 10. Maidana F. 7. Endrizzi E. 9. Quintana A. 11. Perales J.	1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Kippes A. 2. Parnisari E. 6. Cardozo F. 3. Corda S. 7. Juarez J. 5. Cravero T. 8. Sena F. 10. Salto C. 11. Ferrero J. 9. Lavezzi A.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 14. Barreto R. 16. Barro L. 19. Casa M. 17. Cordoba J. 20. Fernandez G. 18. Juarez D. 15. Lopez D. 13. Sanchez S.	16. Antunes I. 14. D. Renteria 13. Grance I. 17. Jerez T. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 15. Mosca C. 20. Nasta B. 18. Rodriguez Trezza L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Corda S. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
60', Nasta B. 🟨,
69', Ferrero J. ↓, Rodriguez Trezza L. ↑,
69', Sena F. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
72', Trasante J. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
72', Perales J. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
74', Alvarez M. 🟨,
77', Palazzo B. 🟨,
77', Kippes A. 🟨,
81', Cravero T. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
84', Endrizzi E. ↓, Barro L. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez Trezza L. 🟨,
90+5', Fernandez G. 🟨,
90+5', Parnisari E. 🟨,
90+7', Soria H. 🟨,

Preview

Gimnasia Jujuy has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, San Miguel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gimnasia Jujuy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	San Telmo - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Agropecuario Argentino	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.25	San Miguel - San Martín de Tucumán	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Güemes - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	San Miguel - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	San Miguel - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.09.24	San Miguel - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1
12.05.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Miguel	3:0

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