Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)


	Gimnasia Jujuy		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.2	6.5
	1.52	3.5	6.5
	1.54	3.68	7.74
	1.53	3.2	7.5
	1.67	3.5	5.85
	1.55	3.45	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.31)	3.42 ↑ (3)	6.85 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
59.4%

Draw
27.1%

Villa Dálmine
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

31.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia Jujuy's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia Jujuy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Gimnasia Jujuy - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia Jujuy: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Jujuy won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Gimnasia Jujuy is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Jujuy won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Jujuy won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.23	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWTL
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Villa Dálmine - Tristán Suárez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.05.22	Villa Dálmine - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0
30.10.21	Villa Dálmine - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1
05.07.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Villa Dálmine	1:0
24.11.19	Villa Dálmine - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1
14.04.19	Villa Dálmine - Gimnasia Jujuy	4:4
15.10.17	Gimnasia Jujuy - Villa Dálmine	0:1
09.04.17	Gimnasia Jujuy - Villa Dálmine	2:1

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