Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.20	8.25
	1.40	3.80	8.00
	1.45	3.44	8.18
	1.50	3.37	9.40	Watch
	1.42	3.10	8.00
	1.45	3.28	9.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	3.37 ↓ (3.55)	8.52 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
62.5%

Draw
26.9%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

25.3%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

25%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G)
7. Almada L.
4. Dauria M.
3. Gallo M.
8. Gutierrez M.
5. Martinez G.
9. Morales E.
11. Salvaggio M.
6. Samaniego L.
10. Visser B.
2. Zarate A.
Substitutes
15. D'Amelio X.
18. Fernandez V.
13. Fiol F.
12. Ilchischen N. (G)
17. Millan J.
19. Pardo V.
16. Pavone N.
14. Robatto V.
20. Villamor G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Favre A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Atlético Escobar	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTT
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - 9 de Julio	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0
13.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0
11.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:2

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