Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez (Concepción del Uruguay)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.78	2.62
	2.68	2.86	2.57
	1.45	4.15	6.84	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.63
	2.7	2.82	2.58
	3.7	3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.7)	3.04 ↑ (3)	3.21 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
36.9%

Draw
32.4%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

30.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

29.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay's performance.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Dormisch N. (G)
	5. Bassi E.
	4. Dauria M.
	9. Ferreira P.
	2. Flores F.
	3. Gallo M.
	8. Martinez G.
	7. Medina R.
	6. Robatto V.
	10. Rosales C.
	11. Salvaggio M.
Substitutes
	19. Almada L.
	16. Avalos N.
	17. Fernandez V.
	13. Fiol F.
	12. Ilchischen N. (G)
	14. Iturrieta J.
	20. Marfort S.
	15. Piersigilli S.
	18. Visser B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Laumann F. ⚽,
30', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
89', 🟥,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Gimnasia y Esgrima has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Gimnasia Chivilcoy will win today's game, with odds of 2.18.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Atlético Escobar	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0
11.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:2

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