Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Viola F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Lanús

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.75	2.5
	3.2	2.82	2.5
	3.37	2.9	2.64
	3.25	2.86	2.53	Watch
	3.2	2.7	2.45
	3.22	2.84	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.95)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	2.52 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
29%

Draw
33.5%

Lanús
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

33.1%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

33%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Lanús will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rigamonti C. (G) 36. Cortez I. 2. Mondino D. (C) 4. Munoz E. 24. Saavedra F. 21. Antonini F. 30. Fernandez E. 26. Lencioni F. 17. Sabatini I. 29. Modica A. 33. Andrada B.	26. Losada N. (C) 33. Guidara T. 35. De Jesus R. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 5. Pena Biafore F. 17. Medina A. 16. Sepulveda M. 8. Watson F. N. 77. Besozzi L. 19. Valois Y.
Substitutes
27. Armoa B. 5. Barboza N. 42. Carrera L. 7. Cingolani L. 28. O'Connor T. 41. Patritti G. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 3. Recalde M. 11. Rodriguez S. 10. Romano N. 15. Sanchez U. 35. Simoni V.	25. Aquino D. 20. Cabrera B. 23. Carrera R. 37. De Martis T. 39. Laplace T. 10. Marcelino Moreno 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 2. Romero L. 11. Salvio E. 27. Sanchez F.
Coaches
Franco D.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Andrada B. ↓, Armoa B. ↑,
36', Rigamonti C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Medina A. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Modica A. ⚽, Lencioni F. (A),
60', Guidara T. 🟨,
63', Medina A. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,
63', Watson F. N. ↓, Marcelino Moreno ↑,
63', Besozzi L. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
64', Modica A. 🟨,
72', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salvio E. ↑,
75', Antonini F. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
75', Cortez I. ↓, Carrera L. ↑,
79', Fernandez E. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
79', Modica A. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,
82', Valois Y. ↓, De Martis T. ↑,
84', De Jesus R. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lanús's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lanús is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales (Injury) Linares N. (Muscle Injury) Paredes L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Lanús: Bou W. (Inactive) Cardozo A. (Injury) Izquierdoz C. (Yellow Cards) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Copa Argentina
15.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWLL
- CA Lanús
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Lanús - Always Ready	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.26	Lanús - Banfield	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Mirassol - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.26	Lanús - Platense	0:0 ✺
26.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLTL

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