Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	4	2.85	2.1	Watch
	3.9	2.92	2.15	Watch
	4.02	3	2.21
	3.92	2.91	2.2
	3.9	2.75	2.1
	4.28	2.95	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.55)	2.9 ↑ (2.84)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
23.6%

Draw
32.6%

Vélez Sársfield
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

32.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

31.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rigamonti C. (G) 22. Franco J. 2. Mondino D. (C) 4. Munoz E. 24. Saavedra F. 5. Barboza N. 33. Andrada B. 15. Sanchez U. 30. Fernandez E. 26. Lencioni F. 29. Modica A.	12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 50. Andrada T. 5. Baeza C. 11. Pellegrini M. 22. Lanzini M. 10. Valdes D. 23. Monzon F.
Substitutes
42. Carrera L. 19. Ceballos J. 7. Cingolani L. 36. Cortez I. 28. O'Connor T. 20. Ortiz T. 41. Patritti G. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 3. Recalde M. 11. Rodriguez S. 17. Sabatini I. 35. Simoni V.	29. Aliendro R. 35. Arias M. 34. Busso A. (G) 49. Dominguez D. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 14. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 9. Romero B. 32. Silvero T. 17. Veron A.
Coaches
Broggi A.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Monzon F. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Lanzini M. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
45', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Munoz E. ⚽, Lencioni F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Franco J. 🟨,
51', Valdes D. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
55', Andrada B. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
55', Sanchez U. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
61', Pellegrini M. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
67', Fernandez E. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,
73', Lencioni F. 🟨,
75', Gomez E. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Modica A. ⚽, Lencioni F. (A),
83', Franco J. ↓, Cortez I. ↑,
84', Modica A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
89', Lanzini M. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
89', Monzon F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Mammana E. (Own goal),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vélez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vélez could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) Franco J. (Inactive) Gonzales (Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Knee Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Rodriguez S. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLTTT
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTWT

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