Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.55	2.78	3.2	Watch
	2.55	2.84	3.48
	2.53	2.77	3.37	Watch
	2.5	2.63	3.1
	2.48	2.77	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.23)	2.77 ↓ (2.85)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
37.9%

Draw
34%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

32.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 14. Mendez A. 25. Cabrera B. 23. Goitea N. 28. Russo J. 19. Gomez J. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 20. Guch F. 18. Mazzantti W. 13. Coccaro M. 33. Nunez W.	23. Rigamonti C. (G) 32. Paredes L. 2. Mondino D. (C) 42. Carrera L. 24. Saavedra F. 8. Linares N. 21. Antonini F. 26. Lencioni F. 30. Fernandez E. 11. Rodriguez S. 29. Modica A.
Substitutes
10. Acuna V. 17. Garcia F. 27. Herrera L. 26. Herrera R. 9. Hoyos M. 3. Luciano M. 7. Orozco F. 99. Ramirez I. 30. Reinatti J. (G) 15. Salcedo S. 22. Salomon O. 8. Sotelo D.	18. Alvarez J. 5. Barboza N. 19. Ceballos J. 7. Cingolani L. 36. Cortez I. 9. Ferreyra B. 20. Ortiz T. 41. Patritti G. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 3. Recalde M. 17. Sabatini I. 15. Sanchez U.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Broggi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Fernandez E. 🟨,
21', Nunez W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Antonini F. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
46', Paredes L. ↓, Cortez I. ↑,
50', Cortez I. 🟨,
55', Fernandez E. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
67', Recalde M. 🟨,
70', Guch F. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
70', Coccaro M. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
70', Gomez J. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
74', Rodriguez S. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
81', Cabrera B. ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
82', Modica A. 🟨,
82', Mondino D. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Mazzantti W. ⚽, Russo J. (A),
87', Saavedra F. 🟨,
90', Nunez W. ↓, Luciano M. ↑,
90+4', Salomon O. 🟨,
90+5', Mendez A. 🟥,
90+8', Linares N. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).

Newells Old Boys has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gimnasia Mendoza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Newells Old Boys will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Arias G. (Broken calfbone) Coccaro M. (Muscle Injury) Guch F. (Inactive) Hoyos M. (Inactive) Montero A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) Franco J. (Inactive) Gonzales (Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: O'Connor T. (Knee Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Newells Old Boys - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.26	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
10.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Platense	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Banfield - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTTTL

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