Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.85	2.1	Watch
	3.9	2.92	2.15	Watch
	4.24	2.93	2.23
	4.14	2.87	2.16	Watch
	4	2.7	2.1
	4.45	2.92	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.8)	2.87 ↑ (2.76)	2.14 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
22.8%

Draw
33%

Estudiantes La Plata
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

33.4%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

32.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rigamonti C. (G) 32. Paredes L. 2. Mondino D. (C) 4. Munoz E. 24. Saavedra F. 15. Sanchez U. 21. Antonini F. 8. Linares N. 26. Lencioni F. 29. Modica A. 11. Rodriguez S.	16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 21. Piovi L. 22. Castro A. 32. Amondarain M. 10. Palacios T. 29. Perez Fabricio 9. Carrillo G. (C)
Substitutes
27. Armoa B. 5. Barboza N. 42. Carrera L. 19. Ceballos J. 7. Cingolani L. 36. Cortez I. 30. Fernandez E. 9. Ferreyra B. 20. Ortiz T. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 3. Recalde M. 35. Simoni V.	28. Aguirre B. 17. Burgos J. 18. Cetre E. 39. Cornejo L. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Broggi A.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Modica A. 🟨,
41', Palacios T. 🟨,
44', Benedetti G. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Modica A. ⚽, Saavedra F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Perez Fabricio ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
59', Paredes L. ↓, Cortez I. ↑,
59', Rodriguez S. ↓, Armoa B. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Piovi L. (A),
64', Modica A. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Palacios T. ⚽, Carrillo G. (A),
74', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
75', Cetre E. 🟨,
77', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
80', Linares N. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,
80', Munoz E. ↓, Carrera L. ↑,
84', Carrillo G. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
84', Palacios T. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
84', Mancuso E. 🟨,
89', Castro A. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
90+4', Antonini F. 🟨,

Preview

Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Estudiantes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Estudiantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Foot Injury) Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Sosa J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTTLL
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWT

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