Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	8.5
	1.61	3.25	6.5
	1.6	3.25	6.1
	1.6	3.2	6.2
	1.58	3.54	7.49
	1.67	3.2	7.5
	1.57	3.4	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)	3.32 ↑ (3.21)	6.92 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
58.3%

Draw
28.2%

Tristán Suárez
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

28.6%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

28.3%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	21.4%	21.4%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia Mendoza: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 35).

Gimnasia Mendoza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tristán Suárez is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gimnasia Mendoza to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.07.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
27.07.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
22.07.22	Sacachispas - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Mitre	3:0 ✺
08.07.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWT
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.08.22	Tristán Suárez - San Telmo	0:2 ✺
27.07.22	Chaco For Ever - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
22.07.22	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de San Juan	3:0 ✺
16.07.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Tristán Suárez - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWLW

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