The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sacachispas 20.7%
Draw 31.2%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 48.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.7%
31.6%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
30.9%
49.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.4%
75.9%
20.7%
Sacachispas - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Sacachispas will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 60.3% – 91.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 33 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Sacachispas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gimnasia Mendoza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sacachispas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Sacachispas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
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