Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 31

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.82	5	Watch
	1.98	2.8	4.2
	2	2.72	4.45	Watch
	1.97	2.9	4.85
	2.08	2.76	4.38	Watch
	2.02	2.76	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.11)	2.79 ↓ (2.83)	4.56 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
46.5%

Draw
33.2%

Arsenal Sarandí
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

32.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

32.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gimnasia y Tiro will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Guanini M. 6. Diaz G. 3. Montoya L. 8. Morello M. 5. Birge M. 7. Aguirre J. 10. Rinaldi N. 9. Gordillo L. 11. Contin N.	1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Purita E. 2. Roselli N. 6. Mihovilcevich L. 3. Serrano V. 8. Lucero M. 5. Colletta T. 10. Fernandez E. 11. Batista A. 7. Gonzalez T. 9. Sabatini I.
Substitutes
15. Busse W. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 14. Galetto J. 17. Mendez J. 20. Reynaga R. 18. Rojas F. 19. Sivetti F. 13. Tallura A. 16. Villarreal R.	18. Bordagaray F. 14. Cabrera I. 12. Herrera F. (G) 19. Klusener G. 15. Payes A. 17. Rius C. 20. Sayago D. 13. Vera M. 16. Vila J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Gordillo L. ⚽, Montoya L. (A),
14', Gordillo L. 🟨,
21', Reynaga R. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Aguirre J. ⚽,
31', Roselli N. 🟨,
41', Colletta T. 🟨,
44', Rinaldi N. 🟨,
45', Birge M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Purita E. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
61', Gonzalez T. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
71', Birge M. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
71', Contin N. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Rinaldi N. ⚽, Mendez J. (A),
80', Sabatini I. ↓, Rius C. ↑,
86', Morello M. ↓, Busse W. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Gimnasia y Tiro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gimnasia y Tiro is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia y Tiro - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.09.25	All Boys - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Alvarado	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Los Andes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLWT
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.09.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0

Upcoming Matches